Invest In Property - Know The Rules

Booms do not last forever, and neither do recessions, says Rawson Properties Group MD, Tony Clarke.

In a series of 'Investment Advice' evenings in Stellenbosch, Clarke says that the question he is most asked is; 'when will there be a recovery'? He says a precise prediction is not available and granted, this is the worst and longest running SA property downturn since 1976 however, a recovery will happen.

Those buying now, said Clarke, will benefit from the fact that interest rates are likely to stay low for awhile, with a possibility of a 100 to 150 base point rise, but they need a longer term view. This, he said, means that they must be prepared to hold onto what they buy now until 2020. They must, he said, see themselves as investors rather than speculators, and they must avoid two of the most common errors in property buying: valuing the property inaccurately, and buying properties purely for their long term capital gain rather than for their rental potential.

Rule number one is to invest in properties where you can earn rental income all year.

"If you buy land, especially undeveloped land, your children may benefit one day, but you are unlikely to do so. Similarly, if you buy homes in 'out of the way' areas like holiday resorts, the return on your investment will almost certainly be unsatisfactory." Ideally, said Clarke, the property investor uses the bank's money to finance a large portion of the property purchase and the income from the tenant to repay the bond. "Even in today's conditions rents do rise, making property for many people the most worthwhile – and most easily comprehended – asset class."

Clarke advised investors going this route to appoint a really competent rental agent, to take out rental insurance and to shop around for the least expensive bond finance. They should also, he said, be aware of their own cash flow constraints and all the expenses that a property can give rise to.

Amateur investors have all too often been caught by high repair costs. Clarke also advised splitting the monthly bond repayments into fortnightly repayments. This, he said, will ensure one extra payment and a large reduction in interest payable over the term of the loan, without paying any more than the stipulated amount. This will reduce the term of the loan to approximately 12 rather than 20 years. On a bond of R220 000, for example, taken out at a 19% interest rate, will reduce the interest paid out from R635 735 to R327 307, a saving of R308 428. Clarke was given a warmly grateful response by the audience, several of whom said that this was the first talk that had explained the logic of property investment in a way that all could understand.

How is buy-to-let property faring?

Growing rental returns are beginning to attract property investors to the buy-to-let market, which has shown very little growth of late.

High rental yields and low valuations begin to make the buy-to-let market viable once again.

Residential rental demand has been driven to some extent by homeowners selling due to financial pressures. And a survey of estate agents recently estimates that of those homeowners selling due to money problems, 51 percent will rent rather than buy a cheaper property.

Rental returns and interest rates are key factors moving the buy-to-let market. During the boom years, when new property developments blossomed and outstanding capital gains were to be made from off-plan projects, profit was the major force driving amateur speculators and professional investors alike.

During the boom property values spiralled upwards, one sale chasing another - by 2004 the proportion of persons buying to let peaked at around 25%. This proportion has currently fallen to about 7% of the residential market. However, sharp investors are seeing opportunities again as values have plummeted while bargain buys are widely available, including a large number of forced sales and bank repos.

High rental yields and low valuations begin to make the buy-to-let market viable once again. The imponderable is when interest rates will rise, either later this year or during the course of next year. Another issue is the threat to impose commercial municipal rates on secondary or income-producing residential homes. The suggestion (that’s all it is at present) comes from the national government, but it may come to nothing and could well be simply some official tossing a pebble into the pond.

Rental yields are critical, and the current signs are encouraging. According to the Stats SA quarterly survey, rental growth moved up from 6% year-on-year as at June 2010 to 8,3% in June 2011. More recently we have seen more noticeable growth in both townhouse and house rental yields. Good yields, however, are dominant in the central urban nodes, where business activity is strong. This also applies to the buy-to-let market. According to the latest Rode Report, flat rentals in Pretoria led the board in the first quarter with 6% year-on-year growth, followed by Cape Town (4%).

Investors stirring

According to the Stats SA quarterly survey, rental growth improved. Good news for buy-to-let investors, says the report, is that, after peaking at the end of 2009, flat vacancies have since been drifting downwards. This improvement in demand obviously bodes well for market rentals. The investor market can well do with a boost in confidence. Current surveys indicate that the percentage of buyers (as a factor of the total residential market) is in the region of 8% compared with the boom years when the buy-to-let market peaked at around 25%.

In Johannesburg rentals in the middle market have been exceptionally strong, with some pressure on the high end. Shaun Groves, PGP’s rental manager at its Gauteng head office, reports: “Quality stock remains a constant challenge as we let these units faster than we can find them. Some landlords, however, are demanding excessively high rentals which means they can sit on the market for a while.”

Groves adds that July was a record month for PGP rentals in Johannesburg’s northern suburbs, with 70% of this being new business. “We have experienced strong demand, especially below R25 000 a month. This has resulted in high turnover in Bryanston and Parkhurst especially. Demand is always high in Morningside and the immediate areas surrounding Sandton City. There has, however, been pressure at the high end of the market. Only ex-pats are willing to entertain asking rentals of R50 000 a month or more. Corporates have revised their budgets and reluctant to exceed R35 000.”

The buy-to-let market in general tends to be most active in flats and townhouses. There, says Groves, is demand for 1 and 3 bedroom units and a little less for 2 bedroom units.

In Cape Town, rental activity continued to improve (July on June) says PGP Rentals Division manager Dexter Leite. The agents concluded 128 lease transactions and 86 valuations in July. Examples are a house in Fresnaye let at R59 900 a month, a home in Constantia at R55 000 and two apartments at the V&A Waterfron at R32 500 and R30 000 monthly.

Some landlords are looking to rent their properties on a furnished basis, seeking higher rentals, says Leite, adding: “Unfortunately there is not much demand for furnished properties.”

One specific aspect of the buy-to-let market which appears to be growing in popularity is joint ownership, particularly useful when gearing is required. One can assemble a group of friends, or like-minded investors, form a partnership and pool resources. One advantage is that the group can normally generate a reasonable amount of cash, which used as a deposit makes getting a mortgage easier (the banks are quite happy with joint ownership agreements as long as they are properly drawn up).

For the first-time investor there are important factors to consider in selecting a property to let. Obviously rental income and a sound tenant are paramount, but Laurie Wener, PGP’s managing director for the Western Cape metro region cautions that there are other important factors in selecting an investment property.

“These include the suburb, the location, the value based on current market conditions and the general appeal and condition of the property. Get these elements right and the medium-to-long-term growth of your investment will be assured, regardless of the overriding market climate.”

Wener encourages investors not to turn a blind eye to investment opportunities in the current market. “For example, we are marketing a 106 sqm two bedroom, canal-facing apartment at the V&A Waterfront for R4,995 million.”

Article courtesy of Pam Golding Properties' Intellectual Property magazine.

London Property ‘in crisis’ as Foreigners buy Property

Britain will soon become a nation of tenants as huge deposits, high house prices and strict lending criteria combine to leave millions unable to climb onto the property ladder. Meanwhile foreign investors are buying up large chucks of London real estate as they seek a haven for their wealth amid the increasing risk of a global recession.

Britain’s housing market is “in crisis” as millions are forced to rent and the government must urgently act to increase the supply of homes, an alarming new report by Oxford Economics warned last month.

The housing study, commissioned by the National Housing Federation (NHF) warned that home ownership in England will fall over the next decade to the lowest since the mid-1980s as property ownership remains out of reach for many. It predicts that the proportion of people living in owner-occupied homes will decline from its 73 percent peak in 2001 to just 64 percent in 2021.

In London, it predicts that the majority of people will rent property, with home ownership in the capital falling to just 44 percent by 2021. That means around six out of every 10 Londoners will live in rented accommodation.

Meanwhile, the average house price looks set to rise by 21.3 percent over the next five years. The group, which represents housing associations in England, says a chronic shortage of housing is to blame. Only 105 000 homes were built in England in 2010/11, the lowest level since the 1920s.

“Home ownership is increasingly becoming the preserve of the wealthy and, in parts of the country like London, the very wealthy,” says NHF chief executive David Orr.

Adding even more upward price pressure is the fact that wealthy foreign buyers have flocked to London in record numbers, buying up large chunks of property in the city’s most desirable neighbourhoods. The number of international buyers viewing prime central London properties increased by 23 percent in the three months through July, as the increasing risk of a global recession prompted investors to seek a haven for their wealth.

“We’ve had the US debt crisis, the eurozone debt crisis and financial market turmoil but none of these issues have touched London’s property market,” says Mike Smuts, managing director of Smuts & Taylor, a South African investment firm that specialises in helping rich South Africans buy property in London.

Smuts, who first predicted in February 2010 that Britain was fast becoming a nation of tenants, says that although Russian, Chinese, Indian and buyers from the Middle East account for most of the foreign purchases of London properties, wealthy South Africans have also been very active.

“Since the Reserve Bank relaxed exchange controls last October we have seen a large influx of clients who are looking for safe-haven investments amid the financial market turmoil and the alarming calls locally for nationalisation and the redistribution of land without compensation,” he says. “London property is fast becoming the ‘Swiss bank account’ of the 21st century.”

Investor Guide to investing in African Real Estate

Property investors believe Africa’s real estate industry offers unprecedented investment opportunities and is poised for growth going forward.

Accra Mall in Accra Ghana was completed in 2007. This mall was developed by Actis and is managed by Broll.

At the inaugural Africa Property Investment Summit held this week at Sandton Sun hotel in Sandton, property professionals shared expertise and experiences on property investment in Africa.

Hosted by Liberty Properties, one of South Africa’s top commercial real estate businesses and owners of the iconic Sandton City Shopping Centre, the summit was aimed at providing a platform for African real estate professionals to discuss investment opportunities and share experiences and challenges on how to invest in the African real estate markets.

Samuel Ogbu, Liberty Properties chief executive officer, says there is every reason to invest into the African real estate markets. There is improved governance, political stability, securitisation and maturing capital markets of all, which are driven by a population of over one billion consumers who demand attention, he says.

“Africa today is about progress and potential and the key is in knowing how to unlock the opportunities in the African property market for superior returns”, he says.

Africa’s real estate industry is reportedly booming with the retail sector set to drive demand and growth in many parts of Africa’s real estate markets, says Brett Abrahamse, business development manager at Liberty Properties.

“There is a growing appetite for retail and mixed-use developments in the continent,” he says.

He explains that Africa with 53 countries as recognised by the United Nations and with the addition of South Sudan in 2011, Africa is poised for growth in the real estate industry. There is an increased awareness of property investments throughout the continent.

“If you buy the African story then you have to buy the real estate story,” says Abrahamse.

Asked about what makes Africa a lucrative property investment destination, he says there are a few reasons which include shortage of quality property stock, high construction and professional costs, lack of infrastructure, increased demand which is driven by urbanisation, many property development projects are profitable from day one, private equity firms are eager to exit mature assets to dive into new developments with their capital, and lack of finance although this improving.

Savvy property investors and buyers are seeing good returns on property investments in other parts of Africa, he says. According to the World Urbanisation research, Africa’s urban centres are currently growing at an annual rate that is the fastest compared to other regions.

In Lusaka Zambia, Liberty Properties is developing the first fully enclosed mall, the Levy Business Park. This mixed-use development valued at US$200 million is set to open in the last quarter of 2011.

Abrahamse says property sectors such as retail driven by consumer spending and growing urbanisation is what drives property investing in Africa. Other sectors include industrial (driven by resource benefication and labour), hospitality (GDP, globalisation and tourism), office (GDP and economic stability) and the residential property market is driven by population growth and urbanisation.

“Investors and companies are mostly looking at opening shopping centres in other parts of Africa as this sector and the office markets are driving investor appetite for property investments.”

There is a growing appetite for retail and mixed use developments in the continent. For example, Liberty Properties is building the first fully enclosed shopping mall, the Levy Shopping Centre in Lusaka, Zambia valued at US$200 million. Abuja in Nigeria is another example of Africa’s burgeoning real estate landscape. In the next few years the city will attract major investments in property driven by increased consumer spending and business friendly policies, he says.

African real estate markets have huge yields and that attracts investors. According to the Knight Frank Newmark Research, countries including Botswana, Kenya, Tanzania and Zambia have seen yields of over 10 percent in the industrial sector while across all sectors, many countries have attractive and steadily growing yields.

He says potential growth in African real estate markets will be fueled by key infrastructure developments such as communication, quality of telecoms, electricity generation capacity and length as well as quality of road networks.

The research conducted by the European Real Estate Association, indicates real estate is the biggest asset class in the world with 2.4 percent of global stocks in property while 5.5 percent is listed property, he says.

While there are 1000s of listed property companies in the world, only a handful are in Sub-Saharan Africa. The report reveals that in Africa, countries such as Ghana, Nigeria, Kenya and Angola have no listed property companies.

Ikeja Mall in Lagos Nigeria is being developed by Actis and Standard Bank. This mall will open in December 2011.

The report shows that Sub-Saharan Africa listed property has a market capitalisation of $18 billion and 98 percent of that is in South Africa.

“In the past decade we have seen a tenfold increase in the market capitalisation of listed property in South Africa and this is likely to grow in the next three to four years.”

Abrahamse says some African countries including Algeria, Libya, Chad, Ethiopia, Sudan and the Democratic Republic of Congo do not have a stock exchange market.

Some sought-after countries in Africa to buy property in include Ghana (oil and stability), Nigeria (consumer story), Angola (oil, consumer story and urbanisation), Zambia (copper and stability), Botswana (high level of securisation and the CBD shifting towards the airport), South Africa (formal economy and stability), Namibia (oil and stability) and South Sudan (oil, new independence and infrastructure).

Abrahamse is confident that the African real estate markets will be formalised in the next five to 10 years and the continent will begin to see more listed property companies and funds enter the market. – Denise Mhlanga

Household Debt-to-Income improves - South Africa

Debt-to-disposable income has decreased in the second quarter, causing debt service risk to decline further from 6.18 to 6.10 according to the FNB Household Debt-Service Risk Index.

John Loos, FNB Home Loans Strategist, said that this decline implied a decline in the household sector's vulnerability to any unwanted events such as interest rate hiking or economic growth slowdown, which could impair its ability to service its debt at some future stage.

He said that the index takes into account the level of household indebtedness, as expressed by the household debt-to-disposable income ratio, the direction in which this ratio is moving (currently downward), and the level of interest rates (prime rate) relative to long term consumer price inflation (5-year average inflation).

The lower the debt-to-disposable income ratio goes, the lower the risk, and downward momentum in the debt ratio thus also exerts downward pressure on the overall Debt-Service Risk Index.

The decline in the ratio has been brought about by slow single-digit growth in the value of household sector credit in recent years, enabling nominal disposable income growth to outgrow the pace of credit growth according to Loos.

He said the pace of decline had been slow going, however, as disposable income growth since the recession in 2008 had also remained slow compared to the pre-recession boom years. Nevertheless, the second quarter did show some further rise in year-on-year disposable income growth from 8.9% in the first quarter to 9.9%. This, along with a slowing household credit growth from 6.8% in the first quarter to 6.4% in the second quarter, resulted in further reduction in the debt-to-disposable income ratio.

Loos said that reducing the debt-to-disposable income ratio further looked set to continue to be challenging, because the renewed economic slowdown of late looked set to see slowing disposable income growth in coming quarters.

"However, we believe that the downward trend will continue at a gradual pace due to simultaneous slowing in household credit growth, reaching a level below 70% during 2013," Loos said.

He said that on the other hand, the lower interest rates get, relative to long term average inflation, the higher the risk for the household sector becomes, because this implies a diminishing probability of further interest rate cuts and an increasing probability that future interest rate moves could be up.

Therefore, Loos continued, a slight rise in the five-year average inflation rate in the second quarter, brought about by a recent rise in consumer price inflation, had exerted slight upward pressure on the overall index. However, against this, a further decline in the household sector debt-to-disposable income ratio, from the previous quarter's 76.8%, to 75.9% in the second quarter, had offset increased interest rate risk and caused the Household Sector Debt-Service Risk Index to decline further in the second quarter.

This level of debt-service risk, however, remains high by historic standards, with the long term average since 1970 being 5.1 according to Loos. Further significant reduction in the debt-to-disposable income ratio would thus appear essential. The lowest level of 2.74 was achieved in the final quarter of 1998, and it was this low level that preceded the start of one of the country's great consumer and home buying booms. - I-Net Bridge

Global house prices continue to fall

Global house prices increased by only 1.8 percent in the year to March, the lowest annual rate of growth recorded since Q4 2009.

Pam Golding Properties reports that Cape Town's Atlantic Seaboard area including City Bowl, remains relatively recession-proof.

According to the Knight Frank Global House Price Index Q1 2011, in regional terms, Asia remains the top performing continent recording 8.4 percent growth over the last 12 months. This is down from 17.8 percent a year earlier.

Liam Bailey, head of residential research at Knight Frank told Property24 that overall, price growth for the countries tracked within the index has remained in positive territory since Q4 2009.

This he says has been largely as a result of the Asian housing market boom, which led in some cases to annual price inflation of between 30 and 40 percent in locations such as Hong Kong and Singapore.

“The anti-inflationary measures taken by Asian governments to cool their overheated housing markets in 2010 and 2011 have started to take effect and this has had a dampening effect on the index’s overall price growth,” says Bailey.

In Q1 2010, Singapore recorded annual price inflation of 24.1% and this fell to 10.5 percent in Q1 2011. House price growth in Hong Kong declined from 32.8 percent to 24.2 percent over the same period, he says.

Other strong performing countries where governments are fighting to pull inflationary pressures under control were India (21.9 percent) and Taiwan (14.3 percent).

The weakest region was North America which saw a fall of 0.4 percent in values in the year to Q1 2011.

House prices in South Africa fell by 1.3 percent in the year to March 2011 as recorded in the index. In March 2010, the average house price was R1 051 997 but by March 2011, this figure had fallen to R1 038 322. In the three months to March 2011, the average house price rose by 1.5 percent, explains Bailey.

Asked where the South African market is headed in the next few months to end of 2011, he says the market presents risks and opportunities.

Globally, sovereign debt concerns in US and Europe could weaken investor confidence. Secondly, interest rates in South Africa may have bottomed out and may start to rise in 2012.

“This could threaten first time buyer demand, which has been solid in recent months and an important driver of market activity.”

On opportunities, Bailey says there is growing evidence that an increasing number of homeowners are selling due to financial pressure and opting to rent. This move could boost supply and may attract more buy-to-let investors to the sales market.

“South Africa’s trade links with China (and other BRICs nations) have strengthened considerably in the past two years.”

This modern double-storey home in Mostertsdrift, Stellenbosch, is on the market exclusively through Pam Golding Properties, priced at R18.5 million. The home is set on 2000sqm, and was built in 2008. It offers six en-suite bedrooms.

According to the Department of Trade of Industry two-way trade between China and South Africa reached R119.7 billion in 2009. This means China surpassed the US as South Africa’s largest trading partner.

Bailey says the strongest performing housing markets have seen a convergence of factors such as high demand, constrained supply, significant wealth generation and benign economic conditions.

“Supply can be controlled but housing markets are also intrinsically linked to confidence.”

Government and monetary policy decisions such as maintaining interest rates at historical lows has helped to keep the momentum going in the western housing markets.

“We expect to see the current slowdown in global housing markets to continue, hitting a low point in Q4 2011 (assuming the Asian markets continue to cool and the government intervention is successful) but with a slow recovery in global house prices taking place in 2012,” adds Bailey.

Absa Home Loans property analyst, Jacques du Toit says the global housing market is very mixed. Some countries are showing growth while others are still under pressure.

“In South Africa, house price growth is very low at this stage largely as a result of the state of consumer finances,” says Du Toit.

He says household debt to disposable income is still relatively high at almost 77 percent. Many consumers are struggling with bad debt making it difficult for them to obtain credit.

Du Toit reckons the property market will continue to reflect economic and consumer finance conditions.

“I expect very low nominal price growth for 2011 with house prices expected to drop in real terms this year,” says Du Toit.

It appears that the global housing market continues to be somewhat in the doldrums and this seems likely to continue for the foreseeable future, says Dr Andrew Golding, chief executive officer of Pam Golding Properties.

Aerial view of Umhlanga coastline: Elwyn Schenk, Pam Golding Properties area principal in Umhlanga, KwaZulu-Natal says this market is resilient. Its wide appeal and strong commercial growth has attracted those moving in from other areas in the Durban surrounds. Home buyers are a mix of end users and investors across all sectors of the market.

“Our housing market started to turn down almost a year before the start of the global economic downturn and we have been in this down cycle for the best part of four years,” says Dr Golding.

He says the residential property market has held up relatively well from a pricing point of view with prices (generally) only between 10 and 20 percent down off the peak at the height of the cycle.

“The market remains subdued but resilient and this status quo is likely to remain for at least the rest of 2011 and possibly well into 2012.”

Dr Golding says they are seeing an increase in sales numbers and activity levels but the upward trend is slow rather than a rapid recovery.

He adds that key to the faster improvement in the residential market will be a relaxation of the current stringent bank lending criteria. – Denise Mhlanga

How to manage Property Cycles anywhere in the World

The dizzying heights of the most recent property boom, when house price growth peaked at an average annual rate of 32% in 2004, as well as the protracted recovery period in which the property industry has been languishing since late 2009, are prime examples of fluctuations that obscure the otherwise clear cyclical movements in the property industry.

One of the fundamental basics of economics is that markets move in cycles. Markets experience boom times, followed by a period of market correction and a downturn, before the next boom arrives. This is a natural phenomenon evident in all markets, and whether it is called "boom and bust", "bulls or bears" or simply "peaks and troughs", investors can be absolutely certain that neither a growth period nor a downturn in any market will last forever.

What was uncertain, however, was the highs or lows that may be reached during an upturn or a downturn, and the duration of either.

"In the property industry in SA, the average cycle normally spans around seven years," says Dr Koos du Toit, CEO of the P3 Investment Group.

"But given the heady heights reached in 2004, when many analysts and experts warned of a 'property bubble', as well as the subsequent economic turmoil as the world experienced the worst recession in living memory, it is not surprising that many have lost sight of the fact that we are simply moving through another cycle.

"Yes, the market correction and downturn of this property cycle were nothing short of terrifying for speculators and those investors who had overextended themselves financially. And the long, slow recovery has been painful for even the most prudent investors. But the cycle is turning, as it always does, and the market will again experience an upturn.

"What remained uncertain wass when the upturn will commence - many predict only towards the end of 2012; what level property price inflation will reach before the next market correction; and how long the upturn will last."

The question arises: How can a property investor protect a portfolio against the ravages of the property cycle?

"Many property investors do attempt to 'time' the market, but this is akin to speculation. The 2004 boom and this long, protracted recovery provide ample proof that 'timing' the market can be a dangerous game," comments Du Toit.

"Professional - and thus successful - property investors take a long-term view of their investment and the market. They don't speculate; they are building sustainable property investment businesses. This includes keeping an eye on the property cycle, but their focus is not on 'timing' the market, but rather finding the right investment properties that will yield an ongoing passive income and capital growth over the long term. Seasoned and professional property investors know that these investment properties can be found regardless of where we are in the property cycle."

Du Toit explained that professional property investors did not simply acquire properties, they acquired property assets with long-term income-generating potential.

"In layman's terms, this approach can be compared to buying a cow. You can either keep the cow for milking over the long term, or you can sell it quickly at the highest price for slaughtering. If you acquire a cow for milking, you will have an asset, which is appreciating in value, and you will benefit from the milk it produces on an ongoing basis for years to come. If you sell the cow for slaughtering, you might make a quick 'killing' - to use the terminology speculators are fond of. But you may not, particularly if several other cow owners have the same idea. Either way, both the cow, as an asset, and the milk it would have produced over the long term, are gone."

Du Toit notes that a property should be acquired as a cash cow.

"The intention is to hold the property over the long term, milking its ability to produce a passive monthly income that keeps pace with inflation year after year.

"While the property will also appreciate in value, this is regarded as an added bonus, since the objective is not to sell the cash cow, but rather to milk it. This approach is almost immune to the property cycles, since regardless of whether property prices are rising or falling, there will always be demand for good entry-level rental properties in well-established and growing areas.

"And while capital appreciation is not the main objective, investors are richly rewarded for their patience and long-term perspective by superior capital growth over the years, as the ups and downs average out, producing a steady upward trend in property price inflation."

This, clearly, was an entirely different approach when compared to speculating, in which property investors try to "time" the market by buying at high prices, and hope to "make a killing" by selling even higher in the short term.

Du Toit says that while fortunes have been made in this way, it is a high risk approach that has certainly seen many investors lose their investments, and has given many South Africans a distorted understanding of property investment.

"Property investment - acquiring property assets that can be 'milked' over the long term for their income-generating potential - may not be as thrilling and exciting as wheeling and dealing with properties, timing the market and making a killing.

"But it is a proven, tried-and-tested recipe for virtually failsafe property investment. And it is a system that allows investors to sleep peacefully at night, knowing that wherever we are in the property cycle, whatever highs or lows may be reached during an upturn or a downturn, or the duration thereof, their properties are generating an inflation-linked passive income, and in the long term, even their most optimistic capital appreciation expectations will be realised."

This article is to inform and educate, not to advise.

The Wealthy still favours property

High Net Worth Individuals globally still place property at the top of their investments lists, on average 35 percent of their assets.

The 4.4ha smallholding Piedmont wine farm situated at the foot of the Helderberg Mountain between Stellenbosch and Somerset West. Asking price R25 million.
According to the Knight Frank Wealth Report 2011, property remains close to HNWI with property accounting for 35 percent of their investment portfolios.

The report suggests that the only thing these wealthy individuals would rather put their money into besides property is their own businesses.

In South Africa, HNWI at the moment are holding back from investing in almost all kinds of assets including property, said Lanice Steward, managing director of Knight Frank’s South African associate, Anne Porter Properties.

“The favoured channels for investment are gold, commodities (especially coal, steel and platinum),” said Steward.

She said there is a trend among shrewd investors to build up their portfolios by buying repossessed properties. These properties often sell at 30 percent to 40 percent below their previous values hence the boom in the auction property market.

“SA investors should therefore follow the HNWI as stated in the report and keep significant chunk of assets in property.”

Steward explained that the report indicates a growing conservatism and risk-aversion among HNWI investors. They favour already successful property investments rather than trying riskier or unproven areas.

“South African equities are attracting good capital inflows because the returns are above average when compared to those of the world and can be quickly disposed of if the market sentiment changes.”

She said they remain confident that the appeal of property investments in locations such as Constantia and Stellenbosch in the Cape and Kloof in Kwa-Zulu Natal will continue to attract foreign buyers.

Asked about the future of residential property in South Africa, Steward said the first signs of market recovery are now evident. However, this will take time and they expect a slow improvement throughout 2012 with a return to normal trading conditions by mid-2013.

Wealthy individuals have a knack for lifestyle living. They like to buy vineyards where they can not only produce wines but enjoy a unique residential appeal to suit their status.

This wine farm located at the top of the Helshootge Pass is selling for R38 million.
Steward shares the sentiment adding that previously, four big wine estates in Stellenbosch were acquired by foreign investors. The prospects of secure residential developments on wine and olive estates still appear to be reasonable with slow but steady sales, she said.

“SA vineyards currently have an average price of US$80 000 per hectare,” said Steward.

Estate agents operating in Stellenbosch say wine estates are in demand thanks to the region’s fertile soil and renowned wines.

Pam Golding Properties (PGP) area manager Louise Varga said the wine industry has helped to create some of the most spectacular real estate in Stellenbosch.

“The cost of wine farms depend on location, the size of the farm and scale of the wine making operation,” said Varga.

As an example, she said a large scale farm of about 100ha with a state-of-the-art, high volume cellar can cost approximately R30 million. A small holding of under 5ha might also sell close to the same price.

“Pricing depends on the wine label prominence, the size of export contracts, the quality of water supply in the farm and adds-on such as a restaurant, wedding venue, conference centre and guesthouse elements.”

PGP has on its book a 49ha boutique winery on the Old Paarl Road in Stellenbosch with an established vineyard and orchards. The asking price is R23 million with features such as a restaurant, wedding venue, a small conference facility catering for up to 16 people, a deli and art gallery.

Buyers can also choose from a variety of stock in the Boland and Overberg regions with prices ranging between R4.85 million and R7.8 million for 4.5ha. Investors enjoy the lifestyle of a working farm contained within the safety and convenience of a secure estate.

Located on the Old Paarl and Kraaifontein in Stellenbosch, this wine farm is selling for R23 million.
The Knight Frank report shows demand for vineyards has gathered pace in the past five years. Wealthy vineyard owners fall into two groups – the majority of buyers looking for a holiday house with a few hectares of vines and those who want to produce wine on a larger scale.

The overall prices of vineyards will be affected by commercial vineyard land values in line with bulk wine prices. Furthermore, the report states that although areas producing the best quality wines experience less volatility, bulk wine prices moves are likely to affect the property value of boutique wineries.

According to the Knight Frank Vineyard Index, the Western Cape region in SA is ranked as a developed property market with good buildings, possibly Cape Dutch-style. A 20 to 30 ha of vineyards is valued at US$82 00/ha.

The priciest in the index being Bordeaux and the Dordogne France, classic chateau style featuring six bedrooms , 2 to 20ha priced at US$642 000/ha. – Denise Mhlanga

What to ask when buying Property ?

Property remains a viable asset class in which to invest and still forms one of the most important investment cornerstones for South Africans. For those who are currently looking at investing in a property, the timing couldn’t be better.

Since buyers’ market conditions prevail, those who do their homework thoroughly and follow sound investment advice are sure to reap solid returns in the long run.

There is no doubt that South Africans are spoilt for choice when it comes to property investment options. From bachelor flats and apartments to game farms and small holdings and everything in between, buyers have a range of property types from which to choose.

However, location remains the most important factor when purchasing a property – no matter what type of property it is – and so buyers need to select the area in which they invest carefully. Buyers also need to take the time to investigate the relevant properties on offer in their area of choice and compare the costs per square metre, the fittings and finishes etc.

When looking to invest in a residential property as a primary home, buyers need to consider what their needs are and identify which accommodation options best suit their requirements. Those buyers looking to invest in leisure or rental property will have completely different requirements to buy-to-live purchasers and those who are looking to buy vacant land.

For example, first time, single buyers looking to get their foot in the door should consider investing in an apartment while townhouses, on the other hand, are an ideal property type for young couples or those wanting to scale down for retirement.

Those purchasing a property in a sectional-title scheme or apartment building should check the rules and regulations governing the building or scheme, particularly ones regarding pets, visitor access, parking and maintenance.

While single detached dwellings are by far the most common form of housing in South Africa, gated communities are another popular option of freehold property, because homeowners often have access to a range of facilities and amenities within the estate. These kinds of properties are very popular among families or young couples who want to start a family in the near future. This is because of the lifestyle elements they offer where children are free to ride their bikes around the neighbourhood, play in the communal parks or play areas with the security of the estate to ensure residents safety.

No matter what type of property buyers are considering purchasing; there are some questions buyers need to ask before making one of the biggest financial commitments of a lifetime. These include:

Why is this a good area in which to invest?

•Are property values appreciating in the area? By how much?
•Is the neighbourhood well maintained?
•Is the neighbourhood safe?
•Are more and more houses being built or bought in the area?
•Is the area mostly zoned for residential properties?
•Are roads well maintained and is there a proper infrastructure in place?
Other important location considerations include:

•Is the area zoned for heavy commercial development?
•Are there noisy highways, airports, or railroads nearby?
•Is there heavy traffic in the area?
•Are future highways or developments planned within the area?
•Are there wastewater plants or landfills nearby?
When buying vacant land, buyers should ask the following questions:

•Are sewer and water lines available?
•How much fill removal or fill replacement is necessary?
•The cost of removing large rocks and boulders in order to build?
•Is there proper drainage on the land?
•Is the soil suitable for construction?
At the end of the day, a good investment can only be assured if a buyer has done all the necessary homework and comparisons and is sure that the investment they are making is worth the financial commitment they are laying down to acquire it. While the recession has meant that property is not appreciating at the rate it once was, astute property investments still have the ability to provide investors with solid gains.

*Adrian Goslett is the CEO of RE/MAX of Southern Africa

Property investors becoming 'jittery'

The spate of comments from several of the world’s leading central bankers, including from South African Reserve Bank, warning that recovery from the financial crisis will be protracted and that there are real risks in the European banking system, which "poses a great threat to global financial stability”, is anticipated to make investors jittery says Auction Alliance CEO, Rael Levitt.

Marcus warns that even a partial debt default by troubled EU economies could trigger a “systemic banking crisis”. Her view that there are implications for the domestic economy is already unnerving investors and making them ask what the Reserve Bank will do about rising inflation.

A crisis in Greece has been temporarily averted, but according to Marcus, threats remain, not only from Greece but from other peripheral euro zone economies. "These unusually negative comments emanating from the SARB make one think that interest rates will rise sooner than originally predicted and banks may slowdown further on new funding", says Levitt.

The news about the economy seems to be worsening and people across the world are concerned that they will be personally affected by it. "When you consider how the cost of living has escalated, people have in actual fact been affected by the current economic turmoil and despite low interest rates, residential property prices have not risen".

According to Levitt, "there are many ways to stay financially solvent in bad economic times, and although it may not be easy, for some, it can be a time of great opportunity". The most important step is to curtail unnecessary spending and start investing smartly by taking advantage of volatile markets.

‘’Currently, interest rates on savings accounts are not ideal, but some gains are better than none at all. Having a savings account, or at the very least an emergency fund, is a smart decision in today’s economy and can protect you in the event of a further global financial meltdown or if a personal crisis strikes. Paying down any high interest rates debts should be a priority right now, particularly if they are draining your finances every month. If you do have a problem with a high debt to income ratio, you may want to consider a consolidation loan to keep those interest rates in check and to help you save money each month’’, says Levitt.

Levitt advises that if you want to keep growing your finances in hard times, there are several methods that can be utilised to fight rising inflation. The most common one is housing, given the current state of property values and the vast amount of distressed sales. "This is a great time to pick up an extra house if you have the funds, and this can easily be turned into a rental property that will generate income", says Levitt whose company was founded in 1992, in the midst of a global financial downturn.

Navigating the waters of uncertainty is never easy, particularly when potential sovereign debt failures are the talk of the entire world. However, if you watch your spending and take the time to see how you can make your money work for you, these are the times when real money is made. Investors in downturns take refuge in real estate which will rise with inflation and can be purchased at great prices. The golden period to get into the market comes up whenever markets get jittery", says Levitt.